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FundsForBudget > Debt > 8 COLA Realities That Don’t Feel Like a Raise
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8 COLA Realities That Don’t Feel Like a Raise

TSP Staff By TSP Staff Last updated: September 20, 2025 6 Min Read
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Each fall, retirees eagerly wait for news of Social Security’s cost-of-living adjustment, or COLA. Headlines frame it as a “raise” designed to keep pace with inflation. But when the checks finally arrive, many households are left wondering why their budgets still feel tight. That’s because COLA increases often look better on paper than in real life. For retirees living on fixed incomes, the realities behind COLA adjustments can be disappointing. Here are eight reasons Social Security COLA doesn’t always feel like a true raise.

1. COLA Doesn’t Match Retiree Inflation

The formula for COLA is based on the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W). The problem? CPI-W measures expenses for workers, not retirees. Older households spend far more on healthcare and housing, which tend to rise faster than the CPI-W. For example, if the CPI-W suggests inflation is 3%, but Medicare premiums jump 6%, retirees fall behind. On paper, COLA is meant to keep up, but in practice, it falls short for senior lifestyles.

2. Medicare Premiums Eat the Increase

Even in years when COLA provides a noticeable bump, Medicare often takes its share first. Part B premiums, which cover outpatient services, typically rise annually. For many retirees, these increases consume most—or sometimes all—of the COLA adjustment. Imagine looking forward to a $60 monthly bump only to see it swallowed entirely by higher healthcare costs. This reality frustrates retirees who feel like their “raise” never reached their pockets.

3. Higher Checks Can Trigger More Taxes

Social Security isn’t tax-free for everyone. Retirees with combined incomes above certain thresholds must pay taxes on up to 85% of their benefits. Ironically, a COLA increase can nudge some households into these taxable brackets. For example, a couple receiving $45,000 in Social Security and a small pension income may suddenly owe taxes they didn’t before. What initially appeared to be an increase becomes neutral—or even negative—after IRS rules kick in.

4. COLA Doesn’t Keep Up Over Time

Even if each year’s COLA seems modestly helpful, the cumulative effect still lags behind real inflation. Healthcare costs, prescription drugs, and property taxes tend to rise faster than Social Security checks. Over a 20-year retirement, this gap compounds into significant lost purchasing power. Retirees may start comfortably but find themselves cutting back later. COLA is more of a patch than a long-term solution.

5. Big COLA Years Aren’t Always Helpful

During times of high inflation, COLA adjustments can be larger—5% or even 8% in some years. But these increases come after retirees have already endured months of higher prices. By the time checks rise, households may have accumulated debt or drained savings. Worse, high-inflation years often bring other economic stresses, like rising utility and food costs. Retirees feel like they’re constantly playing catch-up, even when COLA looks generous.

6. COLA Doesn’t Consider Geography

COLA is a national average. But living costs vary dramatically between regions. A retiree in New York City or San Francisco spends far more than someone in rural Arkansas. A flat percentage increase doesn’t reflect these differences. While a $75 monthly boost might feel helpful in one area, it’s negligible in another. This one-size-fits-all approach leaves many retirees underwhelmed.

7. COLA Makes Budgeting Unpredictable

COLA changes every year depending on inflation, which means retirees can’t count on consistent increases. Some years bring almost no raise, while others bring big jumps. This unpredictability makes long-term planning difficult. Retirees trying to budget for healthcare, housing, or travel often don’t know how much wiggle room they’ll have. A paycheck that fluctuates unpredictably adds stress rather than security.

8. COLA Alone Isn’t Enough to Thrive

Ultimately, COLA is designed to prevent Social Security from losing value completely—but it’s not meant to create growth. Retirees relying solely on Social Security will always feel squeezed. Even with COLA, it’s hard to maintain the same standard of living without other income streams. Savings, pensions, part-time work, or investment income provide the cushion COLA can’t. Relying only on Social Security is like balancing on one leg—it may work, but it’s shaky.

Why Retirees Should Temper Expectations

Social Security’s COLA is a helpful tool, but it’s not the raise many expect. Retirees who view it as inflation protection—not extra income—set more realistic expectations. Planning beyond COLA with diversified income, budgeting, and cost controls ensures greater financial security. In retirement, stability comes less from government adjustments and more from proactive planning. Treat COLA as a buffer, not a solution, and you’ll avoid disappointment.

Did this year’s COLA make a difference in your budget—or did higher premiums and prices erase the impact?

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